{"id":1577,"date":"2021-04-11T23:59:15","date_gmt":"2021-04-12T03:59:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shutingg.net\/blog\/?p=1577"},"modified":"2021-08-23T10:49:38","modified_gmt":"2021-08-23T14:49:38","slug":"%e6%89%80%e8%ac%82%e7%9a%84%e5%bf%85%e6%9c%89%e4%b8%80%e6%88%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/catsg.link\/blog\/2021\/04\/11\/1577\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6240\u8b02\u7684\u5fc5\u6709\u4e00\u6230"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u5ddd\u666e\u6642\u4ee3\uff0c\u6d41\u884c\u8457\u201c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5fc5\u6709\u4e00\u6230\u201d\u9019\u500b\u8aaa\u6cd5\u3002\u6628\u5929\uff084\u670810\u65e5\uff09\u7684\u300a\u6587\u831c\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u9031\u5831\u300b\u8a0e\u8ad6\u8d77\u4e86\u9019\u500b\u8aaa\u6cd5\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u8aaa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u6253\u8d77\u4f86\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u61c9\u8a72\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u65b0\u00a7\u7586\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u9999\u00a7\u6e2f\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u53f0\u00a7\u7063\u6216\u5357\u00a7\u6d77\u3002\u5979\u9084\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u6709\u9019\u9ebc\u7a2e\u50b3\u8a00\uff0c\u8aaa\u4eca\u4e0a\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u80fd\u7372\u5f97\u8db3\u5920\u7684\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u53d6\u6d88\u5e73\u5b97\u5b9a\u4e0b\u7684\u9818\u5c0e\u4eba\u53ea\u80fd\u9023\u4efb\u5169\u5c46\u7684\u898f\u77e9\uff0c\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u4ed6\u627f\u8afe\u4e86\u5728\u4ed6\u4efb\u5167\u5c07\u6536\u5fa9\u53f0\u00a7\u7063\u3002\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8aaa\uff0c\u653b\u6253\u53f0\u00a7\u7063\uff0c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5728\u4ed6\u7684\u7b2c\u4e09\u4efb\u671f\u5167\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f2027\u5e74\u524d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.shutingg.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/book_cover.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"323\" height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/www.shutingg.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/book_cover.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1578\" srcset=\"https:\/\/catsg.link\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/book_cover.jpg 323w, https:\/\/catsg.link\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/book_cover-194x300.jpg 194w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 323px) 100vw, 323px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>A Fiery Peace in a Cold War<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6211\u4e4b\u524d\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u4e0d\u89ba\u5f97\u6240\u8b02\u7684\u7d71\u4e00\u6709\u751a\u9ebc\u610f\u7fa9\u7684\u3002\u7528\u596a\u53d6\u4e00\u500b\u88ab\u6230\u706b\u6467\u6bc0\u7684\u53f0\u00a7\u7063\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u589e\u52a0\u9818\u571f\u9762\u7a4d\uff0c\u589e\u5f37\u6c11\u65cf\u81ea\u5c0a\u5fc3\u5916\uff0c\u7a76\u7adf\u6709\u751a\u9ebc\u597d\u8655\u5462\uff1f\u60f3\u60f3\u6230\u5f8c\u91cd\u5efa\uff0c\u60f3\u60f3\u7531\u6b64\u5f15\u767c\u7684\u7dca\u5f35\u5c40\u52e2\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0e\u81f4\u7684\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6230\uff0c\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u771f\u7684\u503c\u5f97\u55ce\uff1f\u53ea\u8981\u6709\u9ede\u7406\u667a\u90fd\u4e0d\u6703\u60f3\u8981\u9019\u7a2e\u7d71\u4e00\u5427\uff1f\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u7bc0\u76ee\u88e1\u9762\u63d0\u5230\u4e86\u5169\u500b\u89c0\u9ede\uff0c\u8b93\u6211\u89ba\u5f97\u6771\u5e1d\u92cc\u800c\u8d70\u96aa\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u662f\u897f\u5e1d\u96d6\u7136\u5c0d\u53f0\u00a7\u7063\u4f5c\u51fa\u4e86\u4fdd\u8b77\u7684\u627f\u8afe\uff0c\u4f46\u7576\u53f0\u00a7\u7063\u771f\u7684\u88ab\u653b\u6253\u6642\uff0c\u897f\u5e1d\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u6703\u60f3\u6253\u8d77\u4f86\u3002\u60f3\u60f3\u897f\u5e1d\u81ea\u8d8a\u6230\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u53ad\u6230\u60c5\u7dd2\uff0c\u60f3\u60f3\u201c\u897f\u5e1d\u512a\u5148\u201d\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u897f\u5e1d\u6c11\u773e\u5c0d\u570b\u969b\u5c40\u52e2\u7684\u6f20\u4e0d\u95dc\u5fc3\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u6771\u5e1d\u52d5\u4f5c\u5920\u5feb\uff0c\u5c55\u73fe\u7684\u5be6\u529b\u8db3\u5920\u5f37\u5927\uff0c\u897f\u5e1d\u9084\u771f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u5be7\u9858\u6253\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u81c9\uff0c\u4e5f\u6c92\u6709\u8db3\u5920\u7684\u9b44\u529b\u51fa\u5175\u3002\u7576\u7136\u4e86\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u90a3\u6642\u897f\u5e1d\u771f\u4e0d\u6562\u6253\uff0c\u90a3\u5b83\u570b\u969b\u9738\u4e3b\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\u4e5f\u5c31\u62f1\u624b\u76f8\u8b93\u4e86\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5c31\u5982\u540c\u4e8c\u6230\u6642\u90a3\u6a23\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u897f\u5e1d\u7e3d\u7d71\u518d\u9ad8\u77bb\u9060\u77da\uff0c\u5728\u6c92\u6709\u8db3\u5920\u6c11\u610f\u652f\u6301\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6230\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\u60f3\u6253\u5c31\u6253\u7684\u3002\u5f97\u5929\u7368\u539a\u7684\u5730\u7406\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u65e2\u4fdd\u8b77\u4e86\u897f\u5e1d\u7684\u5b89\u5168\uff0c\u4e5f\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u897f\u5e1d\u7684\u773c\u754c\u3002\u5728\u6c92\u5a01\u8105\u5230\u897f\u5e1d\u672c\u571f\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u897f\u5e1d\u4eba\u5f88\u5c11\u770b\u5230\u6b50\u6d32\uff0c\u66f4\u770b\u4e0d\u5230\u4e9e\u6d32\u3002\u7f85\u65af\u798f\u7e3d\u7d71\u7b49\u5230\u73cd\u73e0\u6e2f\u88ab\u8972\u624d\u6709\u4e86\u897f\u5e1d\u53c3\u6230\u7684\u5951\u6a5f\uff0c\u800c\u53f0\u00a7\u7063\uff0c\u5c0d\u897f\u5e1d\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u6050\u6015\u9084\u4e0d\u5920\u5206\u91cf\u6210\u70ba\u9019\u500b\u5951\u6a5f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u662f\u5982\u679c\u62ff\u4e0b\u53f0\u00a7\u7063\uff0c\u53f0\u7a4d\u96fb\u5c31\u5728\u6771\u5e1d\u624b\u4e0a\u4e86\u3002\u6771\u5e1d\u4e00\u76f4\u5fcc\u619a\u897f\u5e1d\u7684\u6280\u8853\u5c01\u9396\uff0c\u70ba\u6b64\u4e0d\u60dc\u4ee3\u50f9\u7814\u767c\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u82af\u7247\uff0c\u537b\u6536\u6548\u751a\u5fae\u3002\u800c\u53f0\u7a4d\u96fb\u7684\u6280\u8853\uff0c\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6709\u8457\u4e0d\u53ef\u66ff\u4ee3\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u5b83\uff0c\u6771\u5e1d\u7684\u82af\u7247\u96e3\u984c\u78ba\u5be6\u5c31\u6b64\u8fce\u5203\u800c\u89e3\u4e86\u3002\u6230\u722d\u6703\u70ba\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u516c\u53f8\u800c\u767c\u52d5\u55ce\uff1f\u5176\u5be6\u6211\u89ba\u5f97\uff0c\u76f8\u5c0d\u65bc\u9818\u571f\uff0c\u6280\u8853\u771f\u7684\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u7406\u7531\u3002\u7562\u7adf\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u65e9\u5df2\u8d70\u51fa\u5c01\u5efa\u6642\u4ee3\u4e86\u3002\u7576\u4eca\uff0c\u6280\u8853\u70ba\u738b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9019\u5169\u500b\u7406\u7531\uff0c\u662f\u5f9e\u6771\u5e1d\u89d2\u5ea6\u51fa\u767c\u7684\u3002\u800c\u5f9e\u897f\u5e1d\u89d2\u5ea6\uff0c\u6230\u722d\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u7406\u7531\uff0c\u662f\u7bc0\u76ee\u88e1\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631(Thucydides&#8217;s Trap)\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\uff0c\u57fa\u65bc\u53e4\u4ee3\u96c5\u5178\u6b77\u53f2\u5b78\u8005\u548c\u8ecd\u4e8b\u5c07\u9818\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u7684\u4e00\u6bb5\u8a71\u3002\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u8a8d\u70ba\u96c5\u5178\u548c\u65af\u5df4\u9054\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u4f2f\u7f85\u5954\u5c3c\u6492\u6230\u722d\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u65af\u5df4\u9054\u5c0d\u96c5\u5178\u5be6\u529b\u7684\u589e\u9577\u5fc3\u751f\u6050\u61fc\u3002\u897f\u5e1d\u653f\u6cbb\u5b78\u8005\u683c\u96f7\u5384\u59c6\u00b7\u827e\u5229\u68ee\u5275\u9020\u9019\u500b\u4e00\u500b\u8853\u8a9e\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u63cf\u8ff0\u7576\u65b0\u8208\u5f37\u570b\u5a01\u8105\u5230\u73fe\u6709\u5f37\u570b\u7684\u570b\u969b\u9738\u4e3b\u5730\u4f4d\u6642\u5c0e\u81f4\u7684\u4e00\u7a2e\u660e\u986f\u7684\u6230\u722d\u50be\u5411\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p 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